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SACRAMENTO– The foreclosure pox continues to spread unchecked across the country
despite efforts by government and industry to stop it. 3 out of every 1,000 homeowners in the United States lost their homes to foreclosure
in the first half of the year. That’s up 41 percent compared to the same period
last year, according to the latest numbers from ForeclosureS.com,
a California-based real estate investment advisory
firm and longtime publisher of foreclosure and property information.
These per capita numbers translate to almost a quarter-million residential properties
(247,907) that ended up in the hands of banks or lenders this year because homeowners
couldn’t get their mortgage default problems solved, according to
ForeclosureS.com, which tracks and analyzes foreclosure filing through its database of more than 3.2 million listings nationwide.
Per capita reflects the number of filings as a percent
of the number of households in an area.
“Hundreds of thousands of more homeowners won’t be able to escape
foreclosure for most of the rest of the year either unless stagnating housing prices
and markets pick up, and the nation’s economy rebounds, too,” says Alexis
McGee, president of ForeclosureS.com
and author of the upcoming book, “The Foreclosures.com Guide to Investing:
Making Huge Profits Investing in Pre-Foreclosures Without Selling Your Soul” (John Wiley, September 2007).
“All the congressional,
industry, and media talk about helping financially strapped homeowners work out
their default woes has had little effect on the current foreclosure picture. Instead,
foreclosure numbers keep rising; the effects of the sub-prime lender debacle have
spilled over into other mortgage markets like Alt-A (those borrowers that aren’t
prime, but have better than sub-prime credit histories); and some even analysts
predict the increased tightening of lending practices may actually have a detrimental
affect on homeownership overall.
Just like a pendulum, lending standards swung too far out “getting everyone
into a mortgage, whether they could afford it or not” to “tightened
lending standards that are preventing qualified buyers from homeownership”.
At some point, the pendulum will need to rest in the middle, with lending standards
easing from where they are now -- and the sooner the better” adds McGee.
The first six months pre-foreclosure filing numbers are also grim. These are the
homeowners who have defaulted on their mortgages but haven’t yet lost their
homes to foreclosure. Nationally, nearly 7 out of every 1,000 households (more than
507,000) were forced to deal with the threat of foreclosures year to date.
Every region of the country saw their numbers of pre-foreclosure filings increase
in the second quarter over the first quarter 2007of the year, too.
“We base our foreclosure statistics on the formal
notices filed against a property in the foreclosure process,” says McGee.
“In some states that can mean up to three filings against one property—notice
of default, notice of foreclosure auction, and notice of REO (after a property has
gone to foreclosure auction and a bank or lender takes possession of a property).
In other states, it’s only two filings—auction notice and REO notice.
If you simply count the foreclosure filings, the same property
will be counted multiple times,which inaccurately skews the numbers,”
says McGee. “To avoid that
confusion we nowreport the type of filings broken down intojust two
groups--pre-foreclosures (the initial notice that can be default OR auction, but
not both) and REOs (after foreclosure, now lender owned).
This provides a clearer picture of the
actual number of homeowners facing potential foreclosure, and trying to work out
their financial problems—pre-foreclosures—from those homeowners that
failed to solve their default problems, and lost their homes to foreclosure, and
now REO (real estate owned by a bank or lender). Let’s take a closer
look:
January – June 2007
Top 10 States (Preforeclosures)
|
State
|
Filings
|
Per Capita
|
|
Nevada
|
15,812
|
2.12 %
|
|
Florida
|
90,145
|
1.42 %
|
|
Colorado
|
20,879
|
1.30 %
|
|
Illinois
|
46,934
|
1.20 %
|
|
New Jersey
|
31,372
|
1.02 %
|
|
California
|
104,597
|
0.91 %
|
|
Arizona
|
17,077
|
0.90 %
|
|
Utah
|
5,061
|
0.79 %
|
|
Texas
|
40,025
|
0.70 %
|
|
Georgia
|
16,962
|
0.66 %
|
|
Regional Preforeclosures
|
|
Region
|
Households
|
January
|
February
|
March
|
April
|
May
|
June
|
Totals
|
Per Capita
|
|
|
Midwest
|
13,322,289
|
9,103
|
9,552
|
14,076
|
15,349
|
16,945
|
12,216
|
77,241
|
0.58 %
|
|
|
Southeast
|
16,359,083
|
15,302
|
17,913
|
25,303
|
20,647
|
26,883
|
20,319
|
126,367
|
0.77 %
|
|
|
Northeast
|
17,357,043
|
13,269
|
12,616
|
11,971
|
13,635
|
16,342
|
12,385
|
80,218
|
0.46 %
|
|
|
Southwest
|
26,174,730
|
30,514
|
31,474
|
41,964
|
34,005
|
44,402
|
33,798
|
216,157
|
0.83 %
|
|
|
Other States
|
2,403,078
|
1,000
|
1,052
|
1,808
|
1,506
|
1,319
|
1,178
|
7,863
|
0.33 %
|
|
|
Nationwide
|
75,616,223
|
69,188
|
72,607
|
95,122
|
85,142
|
105,891
|
79,896
|
507,846
|
0.67 %
|
|
·
The Southwest Region remains hardest hit by pre-foreclosure filings
with just over 8 (8.3) pre-foreclosure filings for every 1,000 households.
Nevada, with 21.2 filings per its 1,000 households, leads the region. Colorado takes
the No. 2 spot in the region with 13 filings per 1,000. Followed by California with
9.1 filings per 1,000, and Arizona with 9.0 filings per 1,000.
·
The Southeast Region takes second nationally pre-foreclosures with
7.8 filings per 1,000 households. Florida leads with 14.2 pre-foreclosure
filings in the first six months of the year. Arkansas and Georgia both recorded
more than 6 filings per 1,000 households.
·
Some of the counties nationwide with the highest number of per capita
pre-foreclosure filings so far this year include: Kendall, IL (32.1 per
1,000), Wasatch, UT (31.0 per 1,000), Valencia, NM (30.4 per 1,000), Lee, FL (29.1
per 1,000), Flagler, FL (27.7 per 1,000), Adams, CO (27.5 per 1,000), Clark, NV
(26.9 per 1,000), Pinal, AZ (26.8 per 1,000), Osceola, FL (25.6 per 1,000), Riverside,
CA (25.4 per 1,000).
January – June 2007
Top 10 States (REOs)
|
State
|
Filings
|
Per Capita
|
|
Colorado
|
14,640
|
0.92 %
|
|
Michigan
|
16,968
|
0.81 %
|
|
Nevada
|
5,519
|
0.75 %
|
|
Georgia
|
14,644
|
0.71 %
|
|
Indiana
|
6,131
|
0.61 %
|
|
Ohio
|
23,301
|
0.57 %
|
|
Missouri
|
8,115
|
0.56 %
|
|
Texas
|
32,209
|
0.54 %
|
|
Alabama
|
3,725
|
0.49 %
|
|
Arkansas
|
2,330
|
0.45 %
|
|
Regional REOs
|
|
Region
|
Households
|
January
|
February
|
March
|
April
|
May
|
June
|
Totals
|
Per Capita
|
|
|
Midwest
|
15,838,278
|
11,121
|
9,199
|
13,546
|
11,795
|
14,688
|
12,502
|
72,851
|
0.46 %
|
|
|
Southeast
|
17,790,697
|
8,044
|
7,745
|
11,831
|
10,482
|
12,676
|
10,251
|
61,029
|
0.34 %
|
|
|
Northeast
|
17,563,990
|
1,231
|
1,120
|
2,459
|
2,402
|
1,947
|
2,067
|
11,226
|
0.06 %
|
|
|
Southwest
|
26,552,480
|
15,503
|
13,280
|
19,615
|
17,754
|
16,810
|
15,941
|
98,903
|
0.37 %
|
|
|
Other States
|
2,575,666
|
869
|
479
|
622
|
470
|
627
|
831
|
3,898
|
0.15 %
|
|
|
Nationwide
|
80,321,111
|
36,768
|
31,823
|
48,073
|
42,903
|
46,748
|
41,592
|
247,907
|
0.31 %
|
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·
Looking at REO’s (those people that actually lost their
homes to foreclosure) Colorado has had 9.2 REO filings for every 1,000 households.
But that’s down from the 23.8 filings per 1,000 households in the state for
all of 2006.
·
Michigan ranked second with 8.1 REO filings out of every 1,000
households. That’s down from the 11.5 filings per capita for every
1,000 households for all of 2006.
·
Nevada ranked third with 7.5 filings for its every 1,000 households.
That’s up slightly from the 7.2 filings per 1,000 for all of 2006.
·
Other states with big numbers of homeowners per capita lost to REO
foreclosure include: Georgia (7.1 filings per 1,000); Indiana (6.1 per 1,000);
Ohio (5.7 filings per 1,000); Missouri (5.6 filings per 1,000) and Texas (5.4 filings
per 1,000).
·
Counties hard-hit nationwide by REOs so far this year include:
Mohave, AZ (33.8 filings per 1,000); Hood, TX (30.4 filings per 1,000); Elko,
NV (29.5 per 1,000); Weld, CO (28.2 per 1,000); Modoc, CA (23.3 per 1,000); Garland,
AR (19.6 per 1,000); Park, CO (18.0 per 1,000 ); Elbert, CO (17.0 per 1,000); Adams,
CO (16.6 per 1,000); Hardeman, TN (15.8 per 1,000).
·
For more information on your State and County please visit:
http://www.ForeclosureS.com/www/pages/pressinquiry.asp.
“The REO filings also show that the Midwest Region continues to take the brunt
of the foreclosure epidemic nationally in terms of properties actually lost to foreclosure
so far this year—4.6 REO filings per 1,000 households,” says McGee.
“That’s being fueled by a combination of manufacturing slowdowns, offshore
outsourcing, and economic fallout from depressed markets and home prices.”
The Midwest also led in REO filings per capita for all of 2006 (8.1 per 1,000 households).
So far in 2007, the Southwest ranks second with 3.7 REO filings per capita, with
the Southeast trailing closely with 3.4 filings per its 1,000 households. The REO
outlook, though, continues to brighten in the Northeast with less than one (0.6)
REO filings year to date per 1,000 households.
With this surge in foreclosures, the use of REO auctions is growing, too.
That’s when a lender, bank, or group of property holders contracts with a
private auction company to sell their REO properties in a large scale event. “It’s
a great thing for the lenders, as these auction companies are filling the room with
a ton ofbuyers and selling their properties for top dollar in one weekend”
says McGee.“However, that is not good news for the buyers at these auctions.
Too many potential homeowners and investors are misled into thinking they’re
going to get a great deal at auction” says McGee.
“That’s not necessarily the case. In fact, the reality instead is that
often if it’s a big well-publicized auction—as in the case of the 400-plus
property auctions that draw 4,000 bidders--buyers end up paying as much (if not
more) for a property than what is currently listed for sale in their MLS. That’s
what’s been happening with most properties at big auction events earlier this
year. It’s a function of supply and demand. You get 10 people bidding on a
house, and watch the prices skyrocket.” (To find out more about the ins and
outs of foreclosure auctions, visit ForeclosureS.com/blog)
For access to our foreclosure filing statistics (pre-foreclosure and REO filings)
by region, state, and county, including year-to-date; month-to-month; quarter-over-quarter
comparisons please visit:
http://www.ForeclosureS.com/www/pages/pressinquiry.asp.
About
ForeclosureS.com:
Finally there’s a solid information source
that provides an accurate picture of exactly what’s happening in the nation’s
housing and foreclosure markets. Sacramento-basedForeclosureS.com, publisher of foreclosure
property information for more than 20 years, has more than 3.2 million listings
of current foreclosure filings covering more than 1,500 major U.S. counties. Get
the details for your market area by visiting
http://www.foreclosures.com/www/pages/pressinquiry.asp.
Media Contact:
Sofia Gutierrez, ForeclosureS.com, 916-860-1190
or sofia@halldinpr.com
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