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SACRAMENTO, Calif. –While President Obama, Congress,
and the American people debate financial regulatory reform, foreclosures continue
to mount as embattled housing markets bump along the bottom.
But amid much talk about problems, many areas of the country are now experiencing
rebounds, with declining foreclosures, increasing home sales and even increased
average sale prices, according to ForeclosureS.com, a leading real estate information
provider.
“We’re
in a slow, but definite recovery mode,” says Alexis McGee, foreclosure expert,
educator, author, and president of ForeclosureS.com. “While foreclosures persist
and unemployment still worsens, there are positives in the market that give a strong
indication that housing markets have bottomed. Even some interest rate increases
have failed to put a damper on prospective home buyers and investors who wisely
recognize that buying a home today is more affordable than it has been in decades.”
In Southern California,
for example, home sales rose for the 11th consecutive month in May, powered
in part by a market shift as sales of mid- to high-end home sales (those $500,000
and over homes) actually rose. The median home price ($249,000) also increased for
the first time since July 2007, according to San Diego-based MDA DataQuick. The
data aggregator showed a total of 20,775 new and resale houses and condos closed
escrow in San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Riverside, and San Bernardino
counties last month. That was the most since May 2006, up 1.3 % from April, and
up 22.8 % from a year ago.
“Affordability
is the prime driver,” adds McGee. May’s median home price in Southern
California was the second-lowest for any month since it was $242,000 in February
2002, and it stood 50.7 % below the peak $505,000 median reached in spring and summer
of 2007, according to DataQuick numbers.
“In the
nation’s mid-section, housing markets are heating up, too, as buyers get off
the fence and take advantage of today’s affordability,” adds McGee.
“Despite ongoing foreclosures, especially in the Chicago area, for the third
consecutive month home sales climbed in Illinois—up 9% in April over March.
The median home price of $150,000 was little changed from March, too, according
to Illinois Association of Realtors.”
Among other telling positive economic indicators:
- Housing starts nationwide climbed 17.2% in May, with building permits up 4%, according
to Commerce Department numbers.
- Pending home sales shot up, too. The National Association of Realtors’ forward-looking
Pending Home Sales Index based on contracts signed in April was up 6.7% in April,
and is up 3.2% from a year ago.
- Existing home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and
co-ops – increased 2.9 % to 4.68 million units in April from 4.55 million
units in March.
- Housing affordability is at record levels. The National Association of Realtor’s
Housing Affordability Index for April was the second highest on record. A median-income
family with a $60,900 income could afford a $296,800 home in April, assuming a 20%
down payment and that 25% of gross income is devoted to mortgage principal and interest.
That buying power far exceeds the $169,800 April median single-family home price.
Around the Nation … What’s Really Happening?
Looking
beyond the national numbers to what’s happening in some of the nation’s
hardest-hit real estate markets across the country:
California: Existing
single-family home sales soared 49.2% statewide in April compared with a year ago.
The median home price was up 1.4% compared with March, but down 36.5% from a year
ago, according to the California Association of Realtors. Markets tightened, too,
with an unsold inventory of just 4.6 months compared with more than double that
a year ago.
Florida:
Like California, home sales are up, and so are foreclosures and defaults. For the
eighth month in a row, existing home sales rose—18%--in April, with existing
condo sales up to—21%, according to Florida Association of Realtors numbers.
The state, along with California, Arizona, and Nevada, powers the nation’s
foreclosure abyss—10.6% of the mortgages in Florida are “somewhere in
the process of foreclosure,” according to the Mortgage Bankers’ newest
Delinquency Survey.
Georgia:
As of June 1, the state of Georgia began offering a $1,800 tax credit to homebuyers
through November 30 of this year. The credit, available to buyers of eligible single-family
residences, is not limited to first-time homebuyers and has no income limits, according
to the Georgia Association of Realtors.
North Carolina:
Despite brighter national numbers, this manufacturing state has seen existing home
sales decline nearly 32% over the past year, with the average home price off 9%
April 2008 to April 2009, according to the North Carolina Association of Realtors.
Michigan:
As the auto industry has unraveled, foreclosures in the motor state have soared.
Yet the Michigan Association of Realtors reports residential home sales as reported
by 41 of its local associations are up more than 8.5% YTD as of April over year-ago
numbers. The Detroit Board of Realtors reports sales up a whopping more than 23%.
Affordability is the name of the game. At least 15 Michigan local Realtor associations
report average home prices statewide off more than 30% over year ago numbers in
April.
Massachusetts:
Home sales and home prices climbed here in the Northeast. Detached single-family
home sales were up 9.6% in April over March, with median home prices up nearly 8%,
according to data from the Massachusetts Association of Realtors.
ForeclosureS.com
has been the professional’s source for accurate foreclosure property information
for more than 20 years. With that in mind, we’re revamping our approach to
the foreclosures numbers in order to provide the most up-to-date, useful reports
that tell the real story of foreclosures across the country. Stay tuned as we debut
a new and improved U.S. Foreclosure Index for the Second Quarter 2009 in July 2009.
In the interim, keep in mind that not all pre-foreclosures
end up as lender-owned repossessions. The foreclosure process varies by state, and
can include notice of default, notice of foreclosure auction, and/or notice of REO
(lender-owned real estate that occurs after a foreclosed property fails to sell
at auction and reverts back to the lender).
For Foreclosure
Statistics and Information for your area, as well as expert commentary from Alexis
McGee, president of ForeclosureS.com, please contact Sofia Gutierrez, ForeclosureS.com,
916-781-0648 or sofia@halldinpr.com.
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