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SACRAMENTO, Calif. – Foreclosures across the United States plummeted
by more than 25 percent in January, with many of the hardest-hit states seeing dramatic
drops in the number of homes repossessed by lenders, according to the latest U.S.
Foreclosure Index released today by ForeclosureS.com, a leading real estate information
provider.
Nationally, the number of completed foreclosures dropped from 97,841 in December
to 72,694 in January 2009 – the lowest number of completed foreclosures since
April 2008, ForeclosureS.com found.
Pre-foreclosure filings – an indicator of future completed foreclosures –
also dropped 12 percent, from 190,467 in December to 166,860 in January.
California continued to see dramatic change as foreclosures drop and buyers move
into the real estate market. Completed foreclosures in the Golden State dropped
more than 31 percent in January to 14,351, the lowest level since December 2007,
and less than half the 31,851 properties foreclosed in the peak month of September
2008. In California, the state adopted a law to slow foreclosures in September 2008
– a move that seems to be working.
In Florida, there were 10,007 foreclosures completed in January, down from 12,786
in December – a nearly 22 percent drop. Nevada experienced a 20 percent drop
in completed foreclosures, going from 4,039 in December to 3,207 in January.
“Efforts last year by government and industry to lay the groundwork for housing
recovery finally are yielding the hoped-for slowdown in the foreclosure hemorrhage,”
says Alexis McGee, foreclosure expert, author, educator, and president of ForeclosureS.com.
“The nation’s foreclosure crisis largely began in California. The comeback
is spreading from there as well,” says McGee, “It’s not quite
time to pop that celebratory champagne. But Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s moratorium
on foreclosures before the holidays, big lenders emphasizing loan workouts, and
states taking steps to slow down foreclosures are all are working together to make
a difference. And the significant drops have occurred despite the higher 7.6 percent
unemployment rate.”
COMPLETED R.E.O. FORECLOSURES – DRAMATIC JANUARY DECLINE
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December 2008
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January 2009
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Change
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Region
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Filings
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Per Household
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Filings
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Per Household
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|
|
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18,611
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0.12%
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12,716
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0.08%
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-32%
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27,419
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0.16%
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21,839
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0.12%
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-20%
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|
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5,001
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0.03%
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4,495
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0.02%
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-10%
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|
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46,646
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0.17%
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33,513
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0.12%
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-28%
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|
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164
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0.03%
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131
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0.02%
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-20%
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Nationwide
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97,841
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0.12%
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72,694
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0.09%
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-25.70%
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PRE-FORECLOSURE FILINGS DOWN IN JANUARY
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Dec-08
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Jan-09
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Change
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Region
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Filings
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Per Household
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Filings
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Per Household
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21,743
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0.17%
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19,319
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0.15%
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-11%
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66,292
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0.37%
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56,938
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0.32%
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-14%
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17,567
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0.10%
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15,635
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0.09%
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-11%
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84,043
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0.31%
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74,563
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0.28%
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-11%
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822
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0.14%
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405
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0.07%
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-51%
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Nationwide
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190,467
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0.25%
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166,860
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0.22%
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-12%
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In addition to California, Florida and Nevada, other states at the center of the
foreclosure crisis – including Arizona, Texas, Georgia, and Ohio – also
experienced declines in completed foreclosures filings. Among states with the most
pre-foreclosure filings, only Texas and Michigan saw increases.
Top 10 States Completed R.E.O. Foreclosures
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Rank
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State
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Dec-08
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Jan-09
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Dec-08
vs Jan-09
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1
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California
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20,952
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14,351
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-31.51%
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2
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Florida
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12,786
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10,007
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-21.73%
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3
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Texas
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7,505
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5,367
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-28.49%
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4
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Arizona
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7,658
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5,250
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-31.44%
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5
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Michigan
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5,138
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2,465
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-52.02%
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6
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Georgia
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5,753
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4,746
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-17.50%
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7
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Ohio
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5,594
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4,300
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-23.13%
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8
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Nevada
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4,039
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3,207
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-20.60%
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9
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Colorado
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2,166
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1,354
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-37.49%
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10
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Illinois
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2,217
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2,111
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-4.78%
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Top 10 States Pre-Foreclosure Filings
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Rank
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State
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Dec-08
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Jan-09
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Dec-08
vs Jan-09
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1
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50,633
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43,070
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-14.94%
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2
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41,710
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33,008
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-20.86%
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3
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12,327
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10,223
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-17.07%
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4
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Illinois
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9,637
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8,165
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-15.27%
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5
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7,385
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5,887
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-20.28%
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6
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8,210
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9,917
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20.79%
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7
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6,935
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6,774
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-2.32%
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8
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4,585
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4,315
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-5.89%
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9
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4,728
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5,752
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21.66%
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10
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2,287
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1,809
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-20.90%
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“While unemployment definitely is a concern to the economy overall, it appears
it’s outweighed by favorable conditions bringing buyers into the housing markets,”
says McGee. “Home sales are roaring back. The dramatic drop in home prices
and historically low mortgage interest rates are making homes more affordable –
and accessible – than we’ve seen in almost 30 years.”
McGee pointed to recent developments fueling the comeback, including:
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The National Association of Realtors last week reported an increase in pending
home sales and reported that its housing affordability index showed housing more
affordable than at any time since the index was started in 1970. For perspective,
the index reached a 20-year low of 102.70 in June 2006, which was one of many red
flags signaling trouble in the housing sector. The affordability index gauges the
relationship between home prices, mortgage interest rates, and family income.
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Based on that affordability index, in December it took just 15.7 percent
of the median family income of $61,058 to qualify for a mortgage on the $174,700
median-priced existing home based a 5.59 percent interest rate with 20 percent down
payment, according to the National Association of Realtors. That’s well below
the historic average of 23.6 percent.
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The California Association of Realtors recently reported that housing inventory
was just 5.6 months, down from 13.4 months a year earlier.
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Nationally, NAR reported total housing inventory at the end of December
represents a 9.3-month supply, down from an 11.2-month supply in November.
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A variety of efforts in the federal Economic Stimulus Plan that will absolutely
encourage home purchases, most notably a proposed $15,000 tax credit for homebuyers.
“Investors and first-time homebuyers are coming off the sidelines and buying
homes,” McGee said. “These market changes and efforts by some lenders
to modify loans are changing the dynamic of the real estate market. While many headlines
still focus on foreclosures, the story is now the recovery of real estate.”
McGee identified the “California Comeback” last year as foreclosures
slowed and purchases quickened. In the third quarter of 2008, the number of foreclosed
homes in California neared 90,000 for just those three months, a high for 2008 and
the highest in recent history in a quarter.
With the amount of both state and federal government foreclosure intervention
programs and mortgage lenders who are finally starting to be more accommodating
on their loan modifications to avoid foreclosure, McGee expects the growth
of 2009 foreclosures to be much less than many experts are predicting.
“Other factors are also laying the groundwork for a housing comeback,”
McGee said. “Historic lows of new construction and a growing U.S. population
put us on course for a housing shortage.”
ForeclosureS.com has been the professional’s source for accurate foreclosure
property information for more than 20 years. The company bases its analysis on the
number of formal notices filed against a property during the foreclosure process.
That can include notice of default, notice of foreclosure auction, and/or notice
of REO (lender-owned real estate that occurs after a foreclosed property fails to
sell at auction and reverts back to the lender). Pre-foreclosure filings are initial
notices that all do not end up as foreclosure.
For more Foreclosure Statistics and Information for your area, as well as expert
commentary from Alexis McGee, president of ForeclosureS.com, please contact Sofia
Gutierrez, ForeclosureS.com, 916-781-0648 or sofia@halldinpr.com.
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